Is Cisco Stock A Good Investment, Or Is Rival Arista Networks A Better Choice?

cisco stock

In 2021, Cisco stock (NASDAQ:CSCO) experienced strong growth as investors switched to “value” equities related to the recovery of the American economy. CSCO stock has decreased this year due to supply-chain problems and rising interest rates.

For CSCO stock, some technical assessments have tipped upward.

Bullish analysts forecast that CSCO will surpass Arista Networks in market share for cloud titans (ANET). By signing up customers like Microsoft (MSFT), Facebook (FB), and (AMZN), Arista was able to outsell Cisco in cloud data centers.

Comparing Cisco with ANET stocks

However, other analysts predict that Arista will continue to dominate cloud networking. On September 30, ANET stock was highlighted as the IBD Stock of the Day.

According to a research by Barclays analyst Tim Long, “we expect the robust mid-teens growth rate for ANET will be sustainable for a few more years.” “We anticipate a continued increase in market share in the data center switching sector. ANET has successfully diversified its revenue sources away from its two main clients, Facebook and Microsoft.”

Added him: “Cisco doubled its relative market share in the cloud sector between 2019 and 2021, but its growth has since stagnated. Slow progress has been made toward a more software-based strategy, and the expansion of the product backlog has been detrimental. Nevertheless, despite similar backlog dynamics, we observe rival businesses expanding more quickly in the software sector, which is likely revealing a weakness in some Cisco stand-alone software offerings.”

But in 2023, spending on cloud infrastructure is anticipated to decrease. ANET stock’s third quarter earnings are due on October 31.

On August 17, Cisco’s shares rose in response to its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings announcement. Cisco provided fiscal 2023 revenue guidance that was higher than anticipated. Analysts disagreed, though, on the prognosis for profit margins as supply chain problems subsided.

In contrast to Wall Street predictions of 3% revenue growth to $52.7 billion for the fiscal year 2023, Cisco said it anticipates sales growth in the range of 4% to 6%. Analyst expectations were met by Cisco’s earnings guidance, which ranged from $3.49 to $3.56 per share.

The outlook for Cisco stock is based on developments in corporate and telecom network spending as well as spending on cloud computing infrastructure. The likelihood of a U.S. recession is growing.

CSCO Stock Performs Worse Than S&P 500

In 2021, CSCO stock increased 41%. The price of CSCO stock has decreased by nearly 27% in 2022 amid a bear market in the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite. Additionally, CSCO stock has underperformed compared to the 18.7%-down S&P 500.

Amid the market downturn and Fed rate increases, investors should exercise caution while making any purchases.

The tech titan wants to move away from its main business of selling network switches and routers and grow recurring revenue from subscription-based software and services.

However, Cisco’s shift to software subscription revenue has slowed. For the past seven quarters, software has consistently made up approximately 30% of total revenue.

Corporate spending on data networks decreased during the coronavirus pandemic as office vacancy rates rose. According to one theory, corporate networks will become less significant if remote work takes off.

In order to increase investments in next-generation enterprise networks, CSCO stock must grow. With the aid of on-premise data centers and cloud computing infrastructure, the company wants to assist corporate clients in developing hybrid network designs.

Is CSCO Stock A Buy Right Now?

Out of a potential 99 points, CSCO stock now has a Relative Strength Rating of 58. An RS rating of 80 or higher is typically found in the finest equities.

IBD Stock Checkup reports that CSCO stock has an IBD Composite Rating of 78 out of a maximum potential 99. IBD’s Composite Rating creates a single, simple rating by combining five different proprietary ratings. The Composite Rating of the top growth stocks is 90 or above.

According to IBD MarketSmith study, the Accumulation/Distribution Rating for CSCO stock is B-plus. The grade considers volume and price fluctuations in a stock over the previous 13 trading weeks.

The rating gauges institutional purchasing and selling in a company on a scale from A+ to E. E denotes heavy selling, whereas A+ denotes heavy institutional buying. Consider a C as a neutral grade.

CSCO stock must establish a new base by October 31 in order to be tradeable.


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About the author: Valerie Ablang is a freelance writer with a background in scientific research and an interest in stock market analysis. She previously worked as an article writer for various industrial niches. Aside from being a writer, she is also a professional chemist, wife, and mother to her son. She loves to spend her free time watching movies and learning creative design.