Timing Lucid Stock Purchase: Too Late?


Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID), an up-and-coming luxury electric vehicle manufacturer, made waves in July 2021 when it went public via a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Led by former Tesla chief vehicle engineer Peter Rawlinson, the company garnered attention for its ambitious plans to produce high-end EVs. However, its stock journey has been tumultuous, raising questions about its viability as an investment option.

The Rise and Fall

Following its public debut at $25.24 per share, Lucid’s stock soared to a record high of $55.52 within just four months, fueled by the fervor surrounding growth and meme stocks. However, the euphoria was short-lived, and the stock now languishes at around $2. The company’s inability to meet production targets, persistent losses, and market headwinds have dampened investor sentiment, leading to a significant downturn.

Production Woes and Financial Struggles

Lucid’s ambitious production projections failed to materialize, with actual output falling well short of expectations due to supply chain disruptions and market challenges. Disappointingly, the company managed to produce only a fraction of the vehicles it had initially forecasted. Furthermore, despite modest revenue growth, Lucid’s operating losses widened, reflecting its struggles to achieve profitability amidst pricing pressures and escalating costs.

Contrarian View

Despite its setbacks, Lucid remains financially solvent, boasting substantial liquidity and a manageable debt profile. The significant ownership stake held by the Saudi Arabian government provides a lifeline for the company, offering potential support in times of need. Additionally, analysts project robust revenue growth in the coming years, albeit with cautionary notes regarding the reliability of these forecasts.

Valuation and Alternatives

While Lucid’s stock may seem attractively priced relative to its revenue projections, lingering concerns about its execution capabilities and financial performance warrant caution. Investors seeking exposure to the EV market may find better opportunities elsewhere, such as Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN), which demonstrates stronger production capabilities and a clearer path to profitability.


While Lucid’s stock presents potential upside, the risks associated with its track record of underperformance and uncertain outlook temper its appeal. With the EV market poised for growth, prudent investors may opt to observe Lucid’s progress from the sidelines until there is greater clarity on its operational and financial trajectory.

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