Starbucks Falls Short of Quarterly Sales Estimates, Anticipates Sustainable Growth in China

Starbucks

Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) faced disappointment as its quarterly comparable sales failed to meet market expectations. The demand for coffee and cold drinks in both North American and international markets showed signs of tapering, resulting in a mere 1% increase in quarterly transactions in North America, down from the 6% growth seen in the previous quarter.

However, the company witnessed a remarkable rebound in China, where comparable sales surged by an impressive 46% during the third quarter. Starbucks officials assured investors that this rebound in China’s market was in line with their expectations and is anticipated to continue. Industry experts believe that China’s strong performance is what has kept the company’s stock value steady.

Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) targeted its younger, affluent U.S. customers by introducing new beverages and promoting food options, which helped boost the average customer sales. Despite a relatively modest 7% rise in North America’s comparable sales, market attention remains fixated on the booming sales in China.

In the current quarter, Starbucks projected that average weekly sales in China would grow in the low- to mid-single digits range, leading to similar comparable sales growth. The company also celebrated a record-breaking milestone of over 20 million members in its customer loyalty program in China, its largest market outside the United States. This loyalty program has amassed a total of 31.4 million reward members.

Analysts at BofA Global Research noted that Chinese travel in cities, as evidenced by subway rides, increased by approximately 128% in the quarter, reaching pre-pandemic levels seen in 2019. They pointed out that Starbucks sales trends typically correlate with subway data.

Despite falling slightly short of Wall Street estimates for quarterly profit, Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) remains positive about its full-year earnings growth. The company adjusted its outlook to project earnings growth in the range of 16% to 17%, compared to the previous estimate of 15% to 20% growth.

Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) executives acknowledged that they expect revenue pressure to persist in the fourth quarter, driven by the at-home coffee business, and foresee a moderation in pricing trends after several months of price hikes.

Global comparable sales at Starbucks rose by 10%, slightly lower than analysts’ expectations of an 11.8% increase. Similarly, in the international segment, same-store sales rose by 24%, missing the estimated growth rate of 25.7%.

Despite the challenges, Starbucks managed to improve its adjusted operating margin to 17.4% in the quarter ending on July 2, up from 16.9% in the previous year. This was achieved by offsetting the impact of increased investment in wages and worker benefits with reduced commodity costs.

In conclusion, while Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) may have missed some quarterly targets, the resilient performance in the China market and the company’s efforts to manage costs have kept the coffee giant on a steady growth trajectory. The focus remains on sustaining growth and meeting customer demands amid changing market conditions. Starbucks posted a profit of $1 per share, exceeding analysts’ average estimate of 95 cents when excluding items.

Featured Image: Unsplash @ June Andrei George

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