Lucid Q4 Earnings Preview: Can LCID Stock Sustain Its Momentum?

Lucid Stock

While the spotlight this week shines on Nvidia’s fiscal Q4 earnings and the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes, the electric vehicle (EV) sector also commands attention. Lucid Motors (NASDAQ:LCID) and Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) are both slated to announce their earnings after today’s market close, with Nikola (NASDAQ:NKLA) following suit tomorrow.

Despite the market’s lukewarm reception toward EV companies, even industry leader Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has struggled in 2024, trading well below its 2021 peaks. Startups like Lucid Motors have faced even tougher times, with LCID stock hitting record lows last month.

However, there’s been a recent surge in Lucid Motors’ stock price, although it’s still far from its pre-merger or 2021 highs.

As Lucid Motors gears up for its earnings release, here’s what’s on the radar for investors:

Lucid Motors Q4 Earnings Estimates 

Analysts project Q4 revenues for Lucid Motors to be around $181.76 million, marking a nearly 30% year-over-year decline. This downturn mirrors the company’s Q3 performance, which also saw a significant revenue drop due to excess capacity and intensified price competition within the EV industry.

Despite efforts to stimulate sales through price reductions, Lucid Motors experienced a 12% YoY decrease in deliveries during the quarter.

Ahead of the earnings report, analysts anticipate a slight narrowing of Lucid Motors’ per-share loss to $0.28, though the company, like many other EV startups, continues to operate at a loss.

Key Points to Watch in LCID’s Q4 Earnings Report

Investors will be closely monitoring several factors during Lucid Motors’ earnings call:

  • 2024 guidance: Following a shortfall in its original 2023 projections, attention will be on Lucid Motors’ outlook for 2024, especially given recent price adjustments aimed at boosting deliveries.
  • International expansion and Saudi Arabia deliveries: With Saudi Arabia holding a significant stake in Lucid Motors and being a key market, updates on sales in the region and plans for further global expansion are anticipated.
  • Gross margin guidance and capital raising plans: Insight into Lucid Motors’ gross margin trajectory and potential capital raising initiatives will be crucial, considering the expected cash burn.
  • Pricing strategy: Given the ongoing price competition in the EV sector, details on Lucid Motors’ pricing approach will be closely scrutinized for its impact on financials.
  • Technology partnerships: Progress updates on partnerships, such as the collaboration with Aston Martin, could offer long-term growth potential for Lucid Motors.

Prospects for Lucid Motors Stock Post-Q4 Earnings

While expectations are modest for Lucid Motors’ Q4 performance, even a moderately positive report coupled with reassuring guidance could fuel further market optimism.

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas suggests that Lucid Motors’ shares may have already factored in much of the anticipated challenges ahead of the earnings release.

Despite a “Hold” consensus rating from analysts, the mean target price for LCID stock sits notably higher than recent closing figures, indicating some bullish sentiment.

Investors should remain prepared for volatility amid ongoing industry challenges, including price pressures and broader economic headwinds. However, Lucid Motors, along with Rivian, stands out as a potentially resilient player in the U.S. EV landscape, supported by compelling product offerings and strategic backing from Saudi Arabia.

Featured Image: Megapixl

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