Is SNOW Stock a Buy or Sell Given Concerns About Sluggish Cloud Computing Growth?

SNOW Stock

 Think of Snowflake stock (NYSE:SNOW) as a proxy for the development of the cloud computing behemoths Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN). One worry for SNOW stock is that if the US economy enters a recession, public cloud growth would slow. Tools for data management and analytics are sold by Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW) and are based on cloud computing systems. SNOW stock has increased more than 14% in 2023 as of February 14. Snowflake stock has climbed back above its 200-day moving average thanks to the gain. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV), one software benchmark, is up 11% in 2023. In 2022, it dropped by more than 35%. Snowflake’s trading multiple is significantly lower in 2020 and 2021, making it one of the most expensive stocks in the software sector.Analysts preserve to disagree at the rate of Snowflake stock, regardless of the company’s stellar however slowing sales growth. 

SNOW Stock: Biggest Software IPO

Because Snowflake’s enterprise version is predicated extra on intake than it does on subscriptions, pessimistic buyers have expressed the situation of approximately how a capability U.S. recession might affect demand.Snowflake desires to make it viable for customers to get the right of entry to and percentage records at some point in their company ecosystem, accelerating commercial enterprise intelligence and superior analytics. In September 2020, Snowflake Stock finished the most important preliminary public presentation through a software program corporation in history. $3.4 billion was raised in the Snowflake IPO. In 2022, SNOW stock fell by more than 57%. In June 2022, Snowflake held an analyst day and user conference in Las Vegas. According to the company, new products in the fields of data security, app development, and other regions will boom its TAM to $248 billion with the aid of using 2027, up from $90 billion in 2018. 

Model for Consumption: SNOW Stock 

According to a note to clients from Jefferies analyst Brent Thill, “Snowflake has unexpectedly accelerated on all fronts to turn out to be a facts cloud company. Its roots are in data warehousing.” The enterprise software provider reiterated at the user conference its fiscal 2029 goal of $10 billion in product revenue for SNOW stock. Snowflake has stated that it anticipates an increase in its free cash flow margins to 25%, up from 15% currently. The majority of software program shares generally exchange at a couple of projected sales growth. Software-as-a-service, or SaaS, businesses like Snowflake do not seek to generate recurring subscription income. The enterprise addressed worries concerning its consumption-primarily based totally sales enterprise version on the consumer event. How much data its clients process and store has an impact on Snowflake’s revenue. One problem is that consumption might decrease in a downturn. If they don’t manage usage, customers may perceive Snowflake as expensive. According to a few analysts, the SaaS commercial enterprise version is much less obvious and predictable than subscription-primarily based totally SaaS.

Synergy With Cloud Computing Giants

Additionally, SNOW stock fell off the IBD Leaderboard in 2021.IBD’s curated listing of pinnacle shares that stand out on technical and essential metrics is known as The Leaderboard. In order to gain business insights from processing enormous volumes of data, many businesses are turning to cloud computing services. The enterprise leaders in cloud computing offer their very own facts control and analytics tools. But the big cloud providers give their clients access to Snowflake’s platform. The reason is that Snowflake’s tools are more effective at a few crucial tasks, like enabling businesses to easily gather, view, analyze, and share enormous amounts of data. As they transition away from on-premise data warehousing products from Teradata (NYSE:TDC), Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), and IBM, nearly two-fifths of Fortune 500 companies use Snowflake’s software in the cloud (NYSE:IBM). 

Increasing Competition 

Furthermore, early in December 2020, the price of Snowflake stock reached an all-time high of 429. Analyst worries about SNOW’s exorbitant valuation, however, caused the stock to plunge. Competition is getting tougher. Recently, Salesforce (CRM) unveiled Genie, a real-time data solution that might at some point compete with Snowflake. Whether Google Cloud or Amazon Web Services ramp up the opposition continues to be a situation for SNOW stock. Additionally, the competition with privately held Databricks is intensifying. Databricks was recently valued at $28 billion in a funding round. The artificial intelligence company Databricks is anticipated to begin its own IPO. Another rival is Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), which has the GreenLake platform. ServiceNow Veterans Lead Company: SNOW Stock Bulls in Snowflake Stock highlights the team’s experience as a strength. In May 2019, Snowflake appointed Frank Slootman as CEO. Early in 2017, Slootman relinquished his position as ServiceNow’s CEO. Mike Scarpelli, a former CFO for ServiceNow (NYSE:NOW), joined Snowflake in the same capacity in 2019. Snowflake’s platform was created from the ground up for cloud computing, in contrast to legacy, on-premise data management systems. All of its software is made available online. Customers of Snowflake can use the company’s information warehouse to percentage information with their companions through several online garage systems. Sharing easily searchable data between applications is also made possible by Snowflake. The data analytics tools from Snowflake became accessible on Amazon Web Services in 2015, Azure from Microsoft in 2018, and Google Cloud Platform in 2020. Snowflake and C3.ai (AI) partnered in June 2021. The organizations will paint collectively to offer organizations with synthetic intelligence tools. 

Amazon Web Services A ‘Frenemy’

Although Snowflake is multi-cloud, 85% of its revenue comes from data analytics jobs executed on Amazon Web Services, which is also Snowflake’s main rival with AWS Redshift, according to a recent note from UBS analyst Karl Keirstead. The success of Snowflake depends on this friendship, Keirstead continued.AWS profits from Snowflake’s prices on (computing and storage) infrastructure sources are extensively greater than they do from the lack of AWS Redshift revenue. Financial services, healthcare and existence sciences, retail and CPG, marketing, and marketing media and entertainment, technology, and the public sector are the six core markets that Snowflake has concentrated on. In order to give its CEO and insiders super-voting rights, Snowflake used a dual-class share structure when it went public in 2020. In March 2021, Snowflake did away with the dual-class system, though. Fundamental Analysis of the Snowflake Stock Snowflake announced third-quarter earnings that surpassed Wall Street targets and revenue that exceeded projections. Snowflake stated that it anticipates product revenue growth of 47% for the entire fiscal year 2024, which begins with the quarter ending April 2023, falling short of analyst expectations of 52%. However, a lot of investors concentrated on the brighter outlook for free cash flow. In a recent note to clients, Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss noted that the rapidly improving FCF story at Snowflake was “a major incremental positive.” “Management anticipates 23% FCF margins for fiscal 2024, just 200 basis points below its 25% long-term target,” Snowflake reported that its loss increased from 51 cents to 63 cents per share. Snowflake was expected to post a loss of 63 cents per share, according to analysts surveyed by FactSet. According to generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP, the company reports its financial data. In its releases, Snowflake does not break out adjusted earnings. The software developer reported a 67% increase in third-quarter revenue to $557 million. Analysts anticipated $539.4 million in revenue. In addition, product sales expanded 67% to $522.8 million from estimates of $505.2 million, according to the Snowflake earnings report. At the midpoint of its outlook, Snowflake anticipates product revenue for the current quarter, which ends in January, to be $537.5 million. $549.2 million had been predicted by analysts. 

SNOW Technical Analysis of the Stock On September 16, 2020, Snowflake Stock went public for $120 per share. Software increase shares had been famous at the time as buyers searched for habitual profits withinside the midst of the coronavirus emergency. On the first day of trading, SNOW stock spiked as high as 319 and finished at 253.93, 111.6% higher than the IPO price. As analysts argued over Snowflake’s valuation, shares declined. Over the following two months, Snowflake stock created a base with a cup and handle. A new base produced access factor quantity 301. On December 8, 2020, SNOW inventory soared beyond the purchase factor and reached an all-time excessive of 429. 

Is It Time To Buy Snowflake Stock?

Snowflake inventory presently has a Relative Strength Rating of 29 out of a most of 99. The relative energy score compares a stock’s rate overall performance over the preceding fifty-two weeks to all different stocks. Additionally, according to IBD Stock Checkup, SNOW stock has an IBD Composite Rating of 21 out of a maximum possible 99. The Composite Rating of the top growth stocks is 90 or higher. According to IBD MarketSmith analysis, Snowflake inventory has an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B-minus. This assessment appears at fee and extent modifications in inventory over the preceding thirteen buying and selling weeks. Snowflake stock is a member of the IBD Leaderboard as of February 14. based on Leaderboard, “A new first-stage cup is being formed by Snowflake. The stock found support at the 200-day moving average near 155 and has since extended past that very early entry point. In the meantime, a trendline within the base has formed, and 180 might end up being an early entry.”

 

Featured Image: Megapixl @ Andreistanescu

About the author: Valerie Ablang is a freelance writer with a background in scientific research and an interest in stock market analysis. She previously worked as an article writer for various industrial niches. Aside from being a writer, she is also a professional chemist, wife, and mother to her son. She loves to spend her free time watching movies and learning creative design.