GameStop (NYSE:GME) embarked on an unprecedented rollercoaster journey in mid-2020, a saga that continues to captivate the financial world. At that time, GameStop stock found itself at the nadir of its existence, pinned down by massive short positions imposed by formidable hedge funds. With an astonishing 140% of its shares shorted, the stage was set for what would become one of the most legendary short squeezes in stock market history. As the story unfolded, it evolved from a mere short squeeze into a gamma squeeze, propelling GameStop stock price to unimaginable heights—a staggering 19,000% surge in just over nine months. However, since then, GameStop has experienced an 84% retracement from its peak, leaving many to ponder whether it now presents an opportunity as a value play.
For astute bargain hunters, the current stock price of approximately $17 may evoke a sense of temptation, especially when juxtaposed with the lofty $120 highs witnessed only a few years ago. Recent praise from several analysts stems from GameStop’s commendable reduction of its debt burden, which has markedly enhanced its financial stability. Currently, the company maintains a Debt/Equity ratio of 50%, positioning it in the lower echelon among reporting companies. To offer a benchmark, tech behemoth Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) holds a Debt/Equity ratio of 181%. Additionally, GameStop boasts a substantial cash reserve of $1.19 billion, affording it significant financial flexibility.
However, the ray of optimism is eclipsed by grim financial metrics. Since 2020, GameStop’s financial health has gradually eroded, marked by dismal profit margins (-1.72%), return on equity (-7.64%), return on assets (-3.38%), an earnings per share (EPS) languishing at -0.32, and an absence of dividend payouts. The sustainability of a company persistently bleeding money understandably raises serious concerns among investors.
Diving deeper into GameStop’s business model, its $5.9 billion in revenue is fragmented into three principal segments: hardware & accessories (53%), software (30.7%), and collectibles (16.3%).
When consumers seek to procure the latest Xbox or PlayStation, online retailers often emerge as the preferred choice, offering competitive prices. Titans of the online marketplace like Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Best Buy (NYSE:BBY), and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) dominate this landscape. While some gamers may still gravitate to GameStop for consoles and accessories, the inexorable shift towards digital game downloads and streaming has dramatically marginalized the significance of physical game sales. This trend shows no signs of abating, adding further pressure to GameStop’s already beleaguered revenue streams. Yet, there is a glimmer of hope within the collectibles segment, which may evolve into a pivotal revenue generator. With a global network encompassing over 4,400 physical stores, GameStop possesses the potential not only to market collectibles but also to foster a global collector community through in-store events.
The GameStop narrative eerily mirrors the fate of Blockbuster, a once-beloved sanctuary for movie enthusiasts and families seeking to rent a stack of films for their leisurely evenings and weekends. As Netflix burgeoned, it gradually eroded the traditional movie rental market, rendering it obsolete. At its zenith, Blockbuster boasted a staggering 9,000 locations worldwide. Presently, only a solitary Blockbuster store perseveres, standing as a testament to a bygone era in Bend, Oregon.
The impending release of the movie “Dumb Money,” which delves into the tumultuous GameStop short squeeze of 2020, may kindle renewed interest in GameStop stock, potentially triggering a short-lived rally. This, in turn, could furnish another shorting opportunity for those who anticipate the inevitable.
Conclusion About GameStop Stock
If I possessed a mere dollar to invest, I would tread cautiously before committing it to GameStop shares. GameStop appears to be the latest casualty in our relentless quest for swifter and more efficient technologies. Unless the company orchestrates a substantial transformation, its downward trajectory is poised to persist. One of the exquisite facets of trading and investing is the kaleidoscope of perspectives that emerge. As the sage Master Yoda once articulated, “Many of the truths that we cling to depend on our point of view.”
Featured Image- Unsplash @ Michael Förtsch